This page shares the best articles to read on topics like strategy, mental models, cognitive biases, and more.

The central question that drives my work is, “How do we make better decisions?” To answer that question, I like to write about various techniques we should use, and the various biases we should avoid, to solve practical problems.

You’ll find interesting articles to read on topics like how to uncover hidden consequences while making decisions as well as personal recommendations like my list of the best books you should read to upgrade your thinking. Also, do check out all the books that I’ve read.

Ready to dive in? You can use the categories below to browse my best articles, or scroll down to see every post by month and title.

Best Articles by Category

Strategy

  1. Two Ways to Win. No Way to Lose.
  2. The High-Ground Manoeuvre: A Better Tactic to Justify Your Position
  3. When Life Gives You Lemons, Make a Stoic Lemonade

Human Behaviour

  1. Thinking, Fast and Slow: How Our Brain Makes Decisions
  2. How Disincentivising Bad Behaviour Reduces Corruption
  3. A Short Introduction to Behavioural Philosophy

Mental Models

  1. Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Better Decisions
  2. Inversion: Working Backwards to Solve Problems
  3. Chauffeur Knowledge: Don’t Confuse The Spokesperson With Those Who Posses True Knowledge

Mental Errors

  1. The Narrative Fallacy: The Story of Your Life is Most Likely a Sham
  2. Ludic Fallacy: Why It's a Mistake to Use Games to Model Real-Life Situations
  3. Green Lumber Fallacy: The Disconnect Between Academic Knowledge and Practical Wisdom

Cognitive Biases

  1. Attractiveness Bias: Why Attractive People Get Preferential Treatment
  2. Conjunction Fallacy: Notions of Coherence, Plausibility, and Probability Are Confusing
  3. Outcome Bias: This is What You Miss When You Judge Decisions by Their Outcomes

Thoughts & Opinions

  1. How to Invent The Future
  2. The Role of Luck, Skill, and Serendipity in Your Success
  3. If Ambition Spells Probable Disappointment, Why Pursue Excellence?

All Articles by Month

Scroll down to browse all of articles by month and title. Articles are listed in reverse chronological order with the newest articles at the top and the oldest at the bottom.

2020

February

  1. How to Build a Virtuous Feedback Loop
  2. Oversimplification: There Are Hidden Risks Inside Quick And Easy Solutions
  3. The Lindy Effect: Things That Age In Reverse
  4. Control What You Can Control. Devise a Strategy For The Rest.

January

  1. Learning Through Thrills and Pleasure
  2. Cargo Cult Science: When You Follow The Instructions But Don’t Understand The Process
  3. Via Negativa: We Know What is Wrong With More Clarity Than What is Right
  4. Negative Visualisation: Contemplating The Worst to Make The Best

2019

December

  1. Regret Minimisation Framework: How to Live With Minimal Regret
  2. The Green Lumber Fallacy
  3. What is Cognitive Behavioural Therapy?
  4. The Tyranny of Small Decisions

November

  1. Self-Perception Theory: What You Do Affects What Attitudes You Build
  2. Einstellung Effect: When Prior Knowledge Harms Performance
  3. How to Think About Your Life’s Work
  4. Action Bias: Why Waiting and Watching Is Torture

October

  1. The Benjamin Franklin Effect: Why It’s Better to Ask For a Favour Than Do One
  2. Seneca: “Take Some of Your Own Time For Yourself Too”
  3. Externalities: Handling Things That Are Out of Your Control
  4. The Minimum Validation Principle: How to Stay Motivated in Life and Business
  5. The Ethics of Manipulation
  6. Inversion: Working Backwards to Solve Problems
  7. The Psychology of Optimism
  8. Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Better Decisions

September

  1. When Life Gives You Lemons, Make a Stoic Lemonade
  2. 3 Lessons from Arnold Schwarzenegger
  3. Second-Order Thinking: How to Uncover Hidden Consequences While Making Decisions
  4. Capturing The Value You Create
  5. A Better Way of Saying, “I Don’t Know”

August

  1. The High-Ground Manoeuvre: A Better Tactic to Justify Your Position
  2. Two Ways to Win. No Way to Lose.
  3. A Short Introduction to Behavioural Philosophy
  4. Pavlovian Conditioning: Understanding Coca-Cola’s Brand Strategy

July

  1. Why Punishments Don’t Always Work
  2. How to Design Effective Reward Systems
  3. Operant Conditioning: How to Incentivise and Reinforce Desired Behaviour
  4. Why Compensation Systems Fail

June

  1. Code of Hammurabi: How Disincentivising Bad Behaviour Reduces Corruption
  2. A Scientific Way to Call BS on Someone’s Argument
  3. Falsification: How to Make Your Ideas and Opinions Stronger
  4. How to Make Small Bets and Win Big
  5. How to Invent The Future

May

  1. Ludic Fallacy: Why It’s a Mistake to Use Games to Model Real-Life Situations
  2. If Ambition Spells Probable Disappointment, Why Pursue Excellence?
  3. Mindsets: Is Talent Like a Hard Piece of Rock, Or Like a Stretchable Muscle?
  4. The Just-World Fallacy: There is No ‘Just’ Plan For The World
  5. Circle of Competence: How Warren Buffett Avoids Failures

April

  1. Chauffeur Knowledge: Don’t Confuse The Spokesperson With Those Who Posses True Knowledge
  2. Prospection: Why We Would Rather Think About The Future Than Get There
  3. The Role of Luck, Skill, and Serendipity in Your Success
  4. How to Discover Secrets

March

  1. Arguments v Fights
  2. Being Persuasive Without Authority
  3. Books That Will Change How You Think About Thinking—Part II
  4. Books That Will Change How You Think About Thinking—Part I

February

  1. Imposter Syndrome: You Deserve What You’ve Achieved
  2. The Narrative Fallacy: The Story of Your Life is Most Likely a Sham
  3. Halo Effect: You Never Get a Second Chance to Make a First Impression
  4. Hindsight Bias: The Psychology Behind, “I knew it all along.”

January

  1. The Dunning-Kruger Bias: The Stupid Are Cocksure, While The Intelligent Are Full of Doubt
  2. Outcome Bias: This is What You Miss When You Judge Decisions by Their Outcomes
  3. The Ostrich Effect: Ignoring Bad News Doesn’t Make Them Go Away
  4. The Fresh Start Effect: How to Use New Beginnings to Persuade People

2018

December

  1. Contrast Effect: Why You Should Hang Out More With Your Ugly Friends
  2. Authority Bias: Too Much Obedience Makes You Do Stupid Things
  3. False Choice: Should You Optimise For Speed Or Quality?
  4. Attractiveness Bias: Why Attractive People Get Preferential Treatment
  5. Conjunction Fallacy: Notions of Coherence, Plausibility, and Probability Are Confusing

November

  1. Buridan’s Donkey: How to Use Randomness to Break Stalemates
  2. Hanlon’s Razor: Why Not Everybody is Out to Get You
  3. Theory of Broken Windows: Why The Little Things Matter The Most
  4. Goodhart’s Law: How Measuring The Wrong Things Drive Immoral Behaviour
  5. Multiple Source Effect: Why Three Examples Are Better Than One

October

  1. Social Proof: Where All Think Alike, No One Thinks Very Much
  2. Present Bias: Why You Go For The Junk Food Now, and Leave Healthy Meals For The Future
  3. Wittgenstein’s Ruler: When Our Opinions Speak More About Us Instead The Topic
  4. Time Inconsistency: Why We Initially Prefer A to B, But Later Choose B Over A

September

  1. Silent Evidence: Forgetting That Dead Men Tell No Tales
  2. How to Become Opinionated
  3. This is Why You Don’t Understand Probability
  4. How to Make Decisions When You Have Limited Information
  5. The Psychology of Introversion
  6. How to Turn Your Mistakes Into Benefits

August

  1. Why You Shouldn’t Read Post-Hoc Analyses of Success
  2. Why You Should Plan For Miracles
  3. Silent Heroes: Heroes You Do Not Know About
  4. We Don’t Learn From Others Mistakes Unless We Repeat Them
  5. The Aesthetic-Usability Effect: Why Beautiful-Looking Products are Preferred Over Usable-But-Not-So-Beautiful Ones

July

  1. Thinking, Fast and Slow: How Our Brain Makes Decisions